Case Study
Optimization model for crude oil allocation and value capture across offshore-to-refinery flows
To support investment decisions across a growing offshore-to-refinery network, an independent oil and gas company evaluated crude oil allocation scenarios and value capture opportunities.
Client
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An independent oil and gas company with international operations and a growing footprint in Brazil.
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The company combines upstream production with proprietary logistics infrastructure, including terminals, pipelines, and processing assets, and has pursued an active expansion strategy through relevant acquisitions and capital deployment.
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In Brazil, it operates an integrated portfolio of more than 30 onshore fields, supported by logistics assets designed to enhance flow assurance, commercialization flexibility, and value capture across the hydrocarbon chain.
Challenges
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Assess crude oil allocation scenarios from offshore production units to refineries in order to identify the most competitive flow configurations.
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Evaluate value capture across assets positioned along these flows, including existing logistics infrastructure and a planned port terminal.
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Support investment decisions under uncertainty by balancing demand, tariffs, CAPEX, OPEX, operational constraints, and regional competitiveness.
Our Approach
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Conducted operational due diligence of the assets, including maintenance, KPIs, operational risks, and performance conditions.
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Developed a custom optimization model in AIMMS® to project and optimize crude oil flows from offshore production units to refineries, while simulating logistics alternatives and asset value capture across the network.
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Built integrated scenarios combining volumes, tariffs, CAPEX, OPEX, and new logistics alternatives, including the potential role of the port terminal.
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Structured the economic and financial analysis to compare scenarios and support strategic decision-making.
Results
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Defined a value-creating business case supported by an integrated view of offshore production, refining, logistics, and infrastructure.
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Quantified relevant growth and value-capture levers across crude oil and refined-product flows.
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Provided a robust analytical basis for investment decisions, including the strategic role of the proposed port terminal.